Millions of American voters are casting their ballots at voting stations on Tuesday to elect the nation’s 47th president in the U.S. presidential elections, with the two candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, appearing to be locked in a tight “neck-and-neck” race.
The most recent polls suggest a very close contest with the Democratic candidate holding a razor-thin lead against her opponent well within the margin of error.
However, the predictions of betting agencies about the U.S. presidential elections reflect a slightly different picture.
The odds offered in betting markets have given Donald Trump a relatively comfortable lead, with some of the latest odds shifting after polls opened across the U.S., widening the margin in favor of the Republican candidate.
While betting odds fluctuate based on wagers placed by the punters and shifts and trends in public sentiment, it seems Trump has a slight advantage.
The online betting platform Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, currently places Trump’s chances of winning at 60%, with Harris at 40%. Early on Tuesday morning (Greek time), Trump’s odds stood at 58%, while Harris held a 42% chance of winning.
New York-based Kalshi, another large prediction firm, also sees a Trump lead, with his election chances estimated at 57% and Kamala Harris’s at 43%.
A New Zealand market forecast company, PredictIt, which had given Harris higher odds earlier in the day, has now shifted to favor Trump.
