In June, over 400 million European citizens are eligible to cast their ballots in the European Parliament elections, the largest electoral process worldwide after India. The EP elections will take place simultaneously across the European Union from June 6 to June 9.
European citizens will elect 720 Members of the European Parliament from the 27 member states, with their distribution being proportional as follows:
The European elections are conducted using a proportional representation system, while the constant changes in the European Union render any attempts to make a comparative analysis of the results complex.
In the European Parliament, members (MEPs) organize into political groups representing various political beliefs and party affiliations.
The most significant political groups are as follows:
The Greek Alliances
Greek parties participate as follows: New Democracy in the EPP (European People’s Party), PASOK in the S&D (Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats), Greek Solution in the ECR (European Conservatives and Reformists Party), and the defector Georgios Kyrtsos in the (Renew Europe) RE.
MEPs elected from the Communist Party of Greece (KKE) and Golden Dawn are classified as non-aligned, while the recently expelled MEPs Eva Kaili and Georgoulis also fall into this category.
Methodology for Predicting Results
1. Data Collection:
Data is collected by monitoring polls in all member states from EUROPE ELECTS.
The analysis is based on the latest six polls for each country.
2. Seat Calculation:
Seats are calculated by applying the respective electoral threshold (e.g., 3% in Greece, and 3.8% in the Netherlands).
The use of proportional representation to calculate the seats won by parties in the initial distribution is applied.
The remaining seats are allocated using the d’Hondt method.
3. Allocation of MEPs:
MEPs are assigned to political groups based on statements and current practice.
For alliances, participating parties, and the allocation are considered proportional, with minor deviations that minimally affect the final result.
4. Results Compilation:
The results are collected and aggregated to determine the strength of political groups.
